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Accurate air-conditioning load forecasting is the precondition for the optimal control and energy saving operation of HVAC systems. Many forecasting techniques such as support vector machine (SVM), artificial neural network (ANN), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and grey model, have been proposed in the field of air-conditioning load prediction. However, none of them has enough accuracy...
According to the chaotic and non-linear characters of power load data, the model of support vector machines (SVM) based on Lyapunov exponents was established. The time series matrix was established according to the theory of phase-space reconstruction, and then Lyapunov exponents was computed to determine time delay and embedding dimension. Then support vector machines algorithm was used to predict...
According to the noise in the nonlinear systems and shortage of chaotic prediction method at present, this paper presents a local linear adaptive prediction algorithm based on the kernel function of wavelet decomposition. This method using wavelet transformation has a unique multi-scale analysis capability, decomposed the singular into low frequency part and high frequency part, thereby it can reduce...
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