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National liver transplantation (LT) volume has declined since 2006, in part because of worsening donor organ quality. Trends that degrade organ quality are expected to continue over the next 2 decades. We used the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database to inform a 20‐year discrete event simulation estimating LT volume from 2010 to 2030. Data to inform the model were obtained from deceased...