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This chapter logically follows the previous one. After having sketched some visions of future potential hazards and vulnerability patterns for Europe, here more specific event scenarios are developed. An attempt to combine hazards, exposure and vulnerabilities to obtain damage estimates is thought to be possible only with respect to individual threats, or to individual events, whose impacts can be...
This chapter regarding present risk conditions, has been structured using significant “images” of Europe, addressing the hazard, exposure and vulnerability factors recognised as crucial components of any risk assessment. To draw such a picture, results of past research at the European level were extensively searched, showing achievements and gaps in data provision, as in current understanding of the...
The Scenario project has set a rather ambitious and even risky goal: to lay down a roadmap for future research in natural risks and mitigation policy in the European Union, drawing on ten years of research on natural hazards, mainly funded under the V (1998–2002) and VI (2002–2006) Framework Programmes. The goal is not only ambitious, but could be easily labelled as unrealistic and even arrogant....
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