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Improving the accuracy of electricity load forecasting is benefit to the economic efficiency and social efficiency of electricity system. The rural electricity load forecasting is closely related to the agricultural industry. In the policy of advocating increasing farmers's incomes strongly, the accurate forecasting of rural electricity load is more important. The gray model is widely used and it...
With the development of economy, the electricity load also increased, in order to avoid shortage of power supply, must increase the investment in power construction correspondingly. How to determine the amount and the time of investment should be taken into account, when made decision. Of course, there are many related factors, this paper only from the capacity-load ratio as an example which accounted...
Short-term electricity load is effected by various factors, It has the certain difficulty to make prediction accurate, but we can improve prediction precise by continuously optimizing forecasting methods. This paper carried out the combination of ARIMA several methods based on the idea of time sequence, to avoid deficiencies in various aspects, perfect forecasting methods, make ARIMA model can conduct...
It is of great importance to carry out independent innovation national strategy for constructing innovation country, but at home and abroad lacking research or making consensus of the mechanism of independent. Based on the perspective of knowledge transfer, this paper firstly does define the concept of the independent innovation .Secondly, analyzes on the circulate process of knowledge transfer. Lastly,...
The characteristics of small sample, stochastic growth and nonlinear wave are often combined with long-medium power load forecast series; SVM model could reflect the relationship between growing characteristics and nonlinear characteristics to the series effectively and make fitting calculation, on the other hand, Markov could well reflect randomness that produced by the system involve with many complex...
The paper introduces the method of multi-objects fuzzy comprehension evaluation briefly, and applies it to select location of coal-fired plants construction project. Multi-objective fuzzy comprehensive evaluation in plant site application has strong reliability, especially in the target weights of subjectivity in the analytic hierarchy process to reduce the options, through comparison choose optimal,...
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