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In this paper the carbon emissions in smart grids are optimised. This is achieved by performing dynamical modelling with uncertainty analysis of smart grids using an Ensemble Based Closed-Loop Optimisation Scheme (EnOpt). Uncertainties include the fluctuations of consumer energy demand (behavioural) and generation fuel mix (green and non-green) are estimated using the Monte Carlo method. The UK electricity...
We present a recently developed method of potential analysis of time series data, which comprises (1) derivation of the number of distinct global states of a system from time series data, and (2) derivation of the potential coefficients describing the location and stability of these states, using the unscented Kalman filter (UKF). We test the method on artificial data and then apply it to climate...
We have used the Grid ENabled Integrated Earth system modelling (GENIE) framework to undertake a systematic search for bi-stability of the ocean thermohaline circulation (THC) for different surface grids and resolutions of 3-D ocean (GOLDSTEIN) under a 3-D dynamical atmosphere model (IGCM). A total of 407,000 years were simulated over a three month period using Grid computing. We find bi-stability...
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