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The investment process of decision-making in the economical system is a multi-agent-stage dynamic process, and bubble is generated, until it burst in the game among various economic entities. The paper constructs a Centipede Game network model of investment equilibrium-adjusted based on grey integration and forwards induction, and regulars the method framework based on grey integration and forwards...
Traditional process capability inspection is established on the basis of large sample and actually at the beginning mass product is difficult, so in the absence of large sample, process capability making use of small sample information can also be quickly judged. In this paper, we will fully dig the small sample information, process capability judgment will be converted to an optimization constraint...
Based on the uncertainty and grey level of suppliers' efforts, the paper put forward the incentive strategy of main manufacturer sharing the suppliers' efforts cost, and established the optimal cost-sharing model under grey effort level. The paper calculated Nash equilibrium and Stackelberg equilibrium under the above incentive model, and came to the optimal proportion, the optimal effort level and...
General grey Verhulst model for sigmoid process boasts good prediction accuracy. But the prediction accuracy is not high enough for fluctuant sigmoid process. In order to improve prediction accuracy, the grey Verhulst self-memory model was established based on grey system and self-memory principle. The model can recollect the historical data and get over grey Verhulst model's shortages. Examples show...
In order to improve the prediction performance for maintenance cost of weapon system, grey system model with the fractional order accumulation (FGM(1,1)) is used to predict the maintenance cost of weapon system with small sample. FGM(1,1) yielded the lower MAPE in the in-sample model and the much lower MAPE in the out-of-sample model, which means that FGM(1,1) can predict the memory process. FGM(1,1)...
For a long time, the rationalization distribution of government technology introduction fund has been important issues of the regional coordination development and the region core competitive ability enhances. Based on endogens economic theory, the paper has established a function of technology introduction and optimization model of supporting fund for technology introduction. It is concluded that...
First, the definition and algorithm of ??Grey Petri Net?? was put forward to solve the problem how to set up production buffer of critical equipment. Second, a Petri Net analysis model is set up to illustrate the principle of the buffer before the critical equipment. Third, the authors establish the buffer Petri net to simplify and solve the net. Furthermore, the genetic algorithm was applied to get...
In this paper a new algorithm is proposed for grey number operation in grey system theory considering probability distribution. The operation of discrete grey number and the continual grey number has been investigated extensively. Using numerical examples we explained the calculation process and the proposed method has broad application prospects in grey forecast, decision-making and grey relation...
At first, this paper defined the grey number inverse operation, proposed a essential condition about the grey number's addition and subtraction inverse operation, then discovered the constitutive error in process of the addition and subtraction inverse operation that is the generally result in the addition and subtraction inverse operation enlarges the length to \b - a\ in the top and bottom sector...
This paper sets an evaluation index system of military transportation path viability according to military transportation features such as rapid, accurate, secure and concealment. It considered the information in five areas that includes the length of the path, the passage time, the unit cost of transportation, the natural conditions of the path and the capacity of the path. Then it builts the model...
This paper uses structural equation model (SEM) to analyze the influencing factors of China's "Eleventh Five-Year" energy-saving goals. Main work of this paper is analysis of impact of the four factors' role of energy-saving goal concluding the industry structure, energy-saving technology, management, social awareness to draw the path coefficient of all the influencing factors and coefficient...
By the establishment of the innovation capability index system of high-technology industry, we use the grey cluster analysis method to conduct quantitative empirical research on the innovation capacity of high-tech industries in Jiangsu Province, then draw the results of the grey clustering evaluation. Finally, we have a conclusive. Analysis of the evaluation result and the evaluation results, and...
In this paper, the distance entropy of the interval grey number was defined, its nature was investigated, and grey number distance entropy was used as a measurement standard of interval grey number distance. Based on the grey distance entropy we discussed the method of multiple attribute decision making, and demonstrated the procedure of the proposed method using numerical example.
The key to grey matrix game lies in the solution of grey linear program model. On this paper, we have proved the necessary and sufficient condition of the existence of grey basic feasible solution in grey linear program problem. We have also certified that grey basic feasible solution corresponds to grey apex of grey feasible field. Then, having proved that any point of grey convex set can be linearly...
In this paper Grey Graphical Evaluation Review Technique (GERT in brief) Network is put forward and its model is built up, for the method of GERT Network requires accurate parameters of action, and however, people usually cannot find out exact value of parameters because of limited information of real life. By Grey GERT Network, many actions are easier to be described and discussed. This paper defines...
On the basis of the intensity of interurban economic relation figured out by Gravity Model, interurban economic relation is ranked into three sorts "strongest, stronger, weak". Productivity layout network is constructed, with nodes denoting the regional cities and a ledge mapped if intensity of interurban economic relation is "strongest". According to the indexes built by authors,...
Multiple attribute decision-making means choosing the optimal alternative decision or arranging the decisions considering multiple attribute. In the solving of the multiple attribute decision-making problems, how to decide the weights of the attribute is very important. Till now, the acknowledging of the weight coefficient has gained a lot, which is given in conference [1] with the details of how...
The most fatal flaw of the classical Cournot oligopoly model as well as the related oligopoly output-making competition model is the supposition on the purpose of game players. It thinks that the only game goal is to make the present profit maximum. Based on this supposition, most game model structures are optimal structures. In this article, some new suppositions of duopoly game are established,...
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