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Over-development of fictitious economy may produce bubble capital and bubble burst can induce financial crisis. The Granger cause of the representative variable of real economy to the variables of fictitious economy in China is tested and the bubble expansion rate of each period of China's fictitious economy is calculated by the quarterly data from the second quarter of 1998 to the forth quarter of...
The global financial crisis sprang from the Wall street have swept all the world, the financial markets and real economies in developed countries are badly affected. As the world's third largest economy, china can not sit idly. Affected by the crisis, in 2008 China's economic growth began to decline from the peak and declined quarter by quarter, the annual growth rate was 8% of the troika that promtes...
The analysis of financial contagion is always an important problem in international finance field. Generally the crisis contagion has a feedback mechanism. In the context of financial globalization, world financial crisis has cross-contagion, and that is why the financial crisis is getting worse. Recently the financial crisis triggered by the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, has been conducted from...
Recently the financial crisis triggered by the U.S. sub prime mortgage crisis, has been conducted from credit market to capital market, from financial market to real economy, and has caused great damage to the global economy. In order to explore and block the route for crisis's further spread in real economy, this paper applies systematic method to analyze the real contagion mechanism of financial...
The subprime mortgage crisis is an ongoing financial crisis triggered by a dramatic rise in mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures in the world, with major adverse consequences for banks and financial markets around the globe. And communication equipment industry enterprise in China must enhance their anti-risk capability force to increase market share. This paper constructs anti-risk capability...
Efficient market theory is always the cornerstone to establish and study modern financial theory. But its explanatory power for financial markets is weakening with the appearing of financial crisis. Rapid development of nonlinear science such as wavelet analysis and fractal theory provides new theoretical tools for groping financial market. Taking intraday closing price of soybean futures on Dalian...
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