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Long time-horizon environmental risks with potential for global impacts have increased in visibility over the past several decades. Such issues as climate change, the nuclear fuel cycle, persistent synthetic chemicals, and stratospheric ozone depletion share some characteristics, including inter generational impacts, strongly decoupled incidence of risks and benefits, substantial decision stakes and...
While the continued emergence of China's economy has benefited its own people and other nations as well, it has negatively affected its energy resources and the environment. It has thus become critical for China to curb its energy consumption and environmental impact for sustainable development. Recognizing the problem, the Chinese government has moved to enshrine in policy making the concept of a...
ABSTRACT / This paper assesses the changing role of dynamic modeling for understanding and managing complex ecological economic systems. It discusses new modeling tools for problem scoping and consensus building among a broad range of stakeholders and describes four case studies in which dynamic modeling has been used to collect and organize data, synthesize knowledge, and build consensus about the...
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