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Macro Demand Spatial Approach (MDSA) is an approach introduced in long time electricity demand forecasting considering location. It will be used at transmission planning and policy decision on electricity infrastructure development in a region. In the model, MDSA combined with principal component analysis (PCA) and qualitative analysis (QA) to determine main development area in region and the variables...
Spatial load forecasting for transmission expansion planning requires forecasting in long term and valid to a large area. Its characteristics are different from the characteristics of spatial load forecasting which has been developed which have a short term and for limitless or small areas. In this paper carried out a qualitative approach to obtain an alternative approach that can address these problems...
In this paper, based on the use of electric power in history and the economic development in future, from the geographical area, voltage level, the view of industry point, load cycle and other aspects, we summed up the characteristics of the power demand forecasting of Changli. Then based on the comprehensive analysis of these characteristics, we decided to use the power demand forecasting method...
In context with climate change mitigation, there is significant interest in analyzing the potential of new energy technologies, which are likely to achieve most progress in terms of performance improvements and cost reduction. The classic experience/learning curves remain the most popular equation to represent the cost improvements of technologies. However, there exists a number of uncertainties in...
This paper reviews literature that identifies the need for decision-making associated with the design and operation of electric power grids including microgrids. In particular, it examines the current applications of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) as the decision-making tool for electric power grids and microgrids. AHP is a decision making tool based on expert judgments that has been successfully...
This paper investigates the transmission system development plan of Electricite du Laos (EDL), specifically for the transmission development projects in the Central-1 and Northern regions of Lao PDR for the years 2010-2020. The power flow analysis at peak demand conditions is based on N-1 contingency criterion. The adjustment in transmission system development plan of EDL is to improve the reliability...
This paper discussed the basic concepts, criteria, procedures and methods in probabilistic transmission planning. The main purpose is to capture probabilistic characteristics in power system planning including uncertainties in load forecast, generator locations, and random failures of system equipment. Two key steps in probabilistic transmission planning are probabilistic reliability evaluation and...
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