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Decomposition on the energy consumption change, which is brought about by economic structure, departmental energy intensity and departmental activity, is benefit for making energy and economic policies. China's end energy consumption from 1991 to 2005 is divided into five end departments in the research, including industry (the construction is included), agriculture, transportation (post and telecommunication...
The city is playing an important role in the social economic development. The research on influencing factors, formation mechanisms and problems in the development of cities, especially the relationship between urban electric power and economy growth, is significant to make urban development strategy and complete the urban electric power planning. In this paper, based on the maximum entropy method,...
This paper applies the cointegration theory to examine the long-run equilibrium relationship between China's power consumption and real GDP, electricity retail price, economic structure from 1978 to 2006. Our estimation results indicate that the real GDP, electricity sale price, economic structure are co- integrated and the long-run, income elasticity is 0.85,the long-run electricity price elasticity...
This paper makes a prediction of Chinapsilas energy consumption in 2015. The assumption in this paper is established as that urbanization, industrial GDP and energy pricing indices are independent variables. With this hypothesis we select time as a single independent variable to make forecasting of these variables. In the paper, we firstly predict these variables with time series method and the tool...
Development planning of electrical power systems starts with load forecasting. Accurate load planning can be useful in appropriate expansion and development of power plants and transmission and distribution devices. In developing countries, where power demand increases more dynamically, load forecasting is even more important. In this paper, artificial neural network (ANN) is used to predict electric...
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