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The research question addressed by this study was: What information should be presented to or hidden from decision makers in order to facilitate high performance in decision tasks? Previous research on information search is limited because of its focus on analytic information acquisition methods; analytic because of the focus on maximizing expected utility; acquisition because of the focus on what...
Land use and cover change (LUCC) research is important to support insightful management of Earth's land use to avoid irreversible damage. However, LUCC is a complex process that relates the interaction between natural and social systems at different temporal and spatial scales. Nevertheless, the representation of different interaction patterns through agent-based modeling and multi-agent systems can...
This short paper details exploratory research into architecture knowledge management (AKM) at the very early stages of architectural design. This is a departure from traditional AKM, instead of a focus on decisions, the focus shifts to decision making. Additional decision theories and decision-making philosophies are needed to supplement the ubiquitous normative decision theory and its associated...
Effective decision support assist greatly in many control and management processes. Many business processes may be easily formalized and simulated, allowing automated assistance in decision making. The paper describes research on current decision support systems with the self-developed system BPsim.DSS, based on multi-agent simulation of resource conversion processes, extended with additional functionality,...
The paper takes system dynamics method as study tool, based on the research in the specific hospital and system analysis about the hospital competitiveness, combined with the actual situation of Jiujiang Chinese hospital, built up seven system dynamics simulation models, and according to the hospital history data and future development plans, established each variable equation of seven models, simulated...
As a famous game in the domain of game theory, both pervasive empirical studies as well as intensive theoretical analysis have been conducted and performed worldwide to research different public goods game scenarios. At the same time, computer game simulators are utilized widely for better research of game theory by providing easy but powerful visualization and statistics functionalities. However,...
Electricity is the basic industry of the national economy. The effective financial evaluation on thermoelectricity enterprises is an important mean and basic work to improve operation and circumvent risks. the financial evaluation of thermoelectricity project investment refers to an assessment process, which is the investment institution conducts a comprehensive analysis and evaluation on financial...
The paper is focused on description of various methods, used in decision support system BPsim.DSS. Paper starts with requirements for effective decision making, points out the role of simulation modeling systems in decision making. Next an abstract organizational-technical process is analyzed, its features mentioned. Paper continues with such process representation as a resource conversion process,...
Any significant decision making process involves dealing with many complexities including spatial interactions, temporal changes, interdependencies between system components and risk and uncertainties associated with decision choices. In this paper, we attempt to capture part of these complexities using an evolutionary game theoretic framework. At the heart of this framework is a game called InterDependent...
Automation of clerical work has been advanced to a great extent. Organizational decision making activities are growing in a primary part of fund management work. Varieties of research have been done in the field of fund raising. Among these simulations are gaining the most attention, but so far it is not accepted by corporate managers. This paper introduces two different simulation techniques. The...
China has been transforming from a highly centralized nation and land use policies to more market dominant systems. Bottom-up forces and local interactions begin to play more and more important roles in the process of rural-urban land conversion. A simulation model of rural-urban land conversion based on multi-agent systems was developed, which can simulate the interaction among different agents,...
The paper makes analysis of the investment risks towards new power shares in Chinese stock markets based on Markowitz mean-variance model using Monte Carlo simulation for solution. Five stocks from new power fields, including wind, nuclear, solar, biomass, and hydrogen, are used to form the portfolio and get the optimal weights dynamics from 2006 to 2009. It's found that the optimal investment weights...
This paper presents an integration effort combining a number of soft factors modelling tools and considers the potential impact of such an overall tool in a system of systems environment. The paper introduces the tools developed and how it is envisaged they will work together to provide a comprehensive, coherent output. It is suggested that a suite of interoperable tools of this form could aid the...
In order to get rid of the limit of traditional methods and provide a decision making reference for the supervision of securities organizations and the risk control of investors, A novel model based on SOM2W network (SOM with 2 winners self-organizing map) is proposed for assessment financial performance of the listed companies. In addition, a tabu-mapping method is proposed to avoid that the same...
Based on the continuous model, the paper established a discrete model, which is good at showing the impact of environmental protection investment to economic and environment simply. There are three response strategies in the paper: complete elastic response strategy of environmental protection investment, directional elastic response strategy of environmental protection investment and minimum maintain...
The objectives of this studies were to develop the optimum shoot and ramification number dynamic models for rapeseed (OSRNDMR), and to lay an foundation for Rapeseed Cultivation Simulation - Optimization - Decision Making System (Rape - CSODS), which can design its planting, regulate and control its growth and development, and fulfill its high yield, good quality, high benefits and standard production...
Paper takes inland freshwater wetlands in the Northeast of China for experimental region, carries out experiment of wetland landscape changing process simulation, results show that visual effects of simulation and prediction are both good, and the total accuracy of points to points are also above 85%; Analysis results of multi-agent simulation technique and method characteristics show that this method...
System dynamics (SD) is used to build the model of dynamic driven factors of cleaner production system, and by using the driver variables of simulation model, and the relevant test function, the knock-on effects of different factor changes on the system are simulated. The development of the enterprises clean production implementation is simulated, combining with the involvement of different driving...
Bar-headed geese (Anser indicus) is one of important migratory goose's species group around Qinghai lake region, the population dynamics of which is essential to decision-making of Bar-headed geese's protection in Qinghai lake National Nature Reserve. A bar-headed goose population dynamics model was developed using STELLA modeling tool in Qinghai lake region. The parameters included in the model that...
During the study of abnormal capital flow, people can not access to a real financial transaction data as a result of many factors, therefore this article took the ways of intelligent agent role simulation, designed an agent decision-making model to verify the data collected. And from different perspectives the visualization of supervision to capital abnormal flow can be achieved.
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