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Investment models for decision making on unconventional hydrocarbon resource development in Europe must be based on realistic estimates of well productivity, gas price projections and reliable data concerning the costs of the project. In this analysis we assess the economic feasibility of three different investments projects in coal bed methane production located in three European regions: Cheshire...
Built-operate-transfer (BOT) is becoming an increasingly popular option of project delivery, and the concession period is a key decision faced by both the government and private investor. Therefore, this paper aims to optimize the concession period in the BOT project by using net present value (NPV). Due to the difficulties in estimating the long-term uncertainties, this paper develops a Monte Carlo...
The technical and economic assessment of voltage sag are analyzed in this paper, Specially, on one side, the sag conditions of customers are got by Monte Carlo prediction considering about randomness of sag event, on the other side, the equipment failure rate is counted by probability method due to the uncertain sensitivity and different tapes and the composition of sensitive equipment. Then the sag...
This paper deals with a new methodology to evaluate the real operating options embedded in a manufacturing system investment. In a single product framework, the demand is assumed as the main source of uncertainty, therefore as a stochastic variable following a geometric brownian motion (GBM). Then, focusing on the real option to expand the capacity at a certain time in the future, we have developed...
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