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The inertia and the time lag exist in the most of economic time series. Through the analysis of such inertia, the internal laws in the time series could be studied and the economic development could be predicted. Based on the actual conditions of per capita GDP from 1978 to 2007 in Yunnan Province, China, ARMA model is used to establish the time series model of per capita GDP in Yunnan Province and...
To solve the defects of cross-section data or time series data for statistical analysis of econometrics, the paper introduces a powerful econometric tool-Panel-Data model which provides more samples that help to improving the effectiveness of the estimated parameters and deeply analyzes the problem. Taking the important regions of China's economic development---east China as the object of its study,...
Reasonable structure is the guarantee of efficient fiscal expenditure for agriculture, consequently speed economic development. On the basis of existing literature review, this paper seeks to analyze the efficiency of current fiscal expenditure for agriculture. Using the sample data from 1990 to 2006, it sets up the C-D production function model. After the stationary test and cointegration test to...
Because of the essential role played by energy in economic development, particularly in view of the two major global energy crises and recent high oil prices, whether or not a region or the whole world can successfully satisfy its energy demand has been an issue of great importance. This study uses stochastic models to forecast regional energy demand in the situation of insufficient statistical data...
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