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The risk of the uncertainty of the economic decision-making is analysed by means of the appropriate economic model with Monte Carlo simulation as a means and Excel VBA as a computing platform. This method makes up the deficiencies of traditional decision-making tools and has some practical significance.
The paper makes analysis of the investment risks towards new power shares in Chinese stock markets based on Markowitz mean-variance model using Monte Carlo simulation for solution. Five stocks from new power fields, including wind, nuclear, solar, biomass, and hydrogen, are used to form the portfolio and get the optimal weights dynamics from 2006 to 2009. It's found that the optimal investment weights...
A new quantified model of evaluating the economic risk of technology innovation project which based on Monte Carlo simulation technology has been proposed in this paper. That is use three point which are maximum possible value, minimum possible value and the most possible value to estimate the risk variable. Using AHP method, variable weight of delivered and extended risk to determine the weight of...
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