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We evaluated the projects risk by using the Back Propagation neural network model, then set up the risk evaluation indexes of enterprise credit guarantee projects. The training samples, verification samples and testing samples that the model needed were generated by the randomly get arms method in the range of single-index evaluation standard. The case study indicates that the methodology for generating...
The current risk evaluation method general presumes mutually independent indexes at the same level and realizes class evaluation by 1 weighing sum and interval division of the results. But in reality the indexes on the same level are not mutually independent and the relation bet different indexes is not linear. Through nodes ordering and local scoring, the thesis tries to set up the bound dynamic...
The financial risk is the representation of enterprise operating risk in the finance activity, is the feasibility which the result of finance activity deviate to the prospective result. It is an important thing is to know how much financial risks the enterprise can bear, without turn financial risks into financial crisis. So, how to recognize and evaluate financial risks become the most significant...
In the light of the development of energy performance contracting (EPC) in our country, the writer systematically studies the policy, market, financing, running and benefit risk which are existing in the process of the development of EPC. On the basis of it, the target system of risk evaluation on EPC is discussed, quantitative evaluation is conducted by applying theory of indistinct integrated evaluation,...
This study applies a hybrid MCDM model for risk evaluation in EC development. First, the risk in EC development is formulated by the combined use of the MCDM (multi-criteria decision making) approach and a proposed five-step hybrid process, which incorporates the technique of ANP (analytic network process) and TOPSIS (technique for order performance by similarity to idea solution). The newly developed...
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