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Scholars and industrial professionals are committed to integrating traditional financial economics models and machine learning models to improve the prediction model for stock prices, which is still a challenging topic. However, there is few acceptable results reported. This study proposes a two-stage multi-view prediction method that provides a new integration perspective for the integration of finance...
Recently, economic models have been proposed to study adoption dynamics of entrant and incumbent technologies motivated by the need for new network architectures to complement the current Internet. We propose new models of adoption dynamics of entrant and incumbent technologies among bounded rational users who choose a satisfying strategy rather than an optimal strategy based on aspiration-based learning...
From the angle of the traditional energy assessment, the fuzzy probability theory is applied to appraise the green energy. Firstly, the influential factors of the green energy assessment for energy project are analyzed according to China's national conditions. The factors of energy project are divided into four parts, such as absolute cost, ecological harmony, energy security and sustainability. The...
This paper studies the decision behavior of workers and characteristics of retirement age in social security system. Based on overlapping-generation model and Markov decision process, this paper constructs a dynamic decision model for social security system. In this model, workers choose their optimal retirement age taking into account the current social security system. In addition, this paper analyzes...
Today, more and more people like to take kinds of vehicles to travel, there are so many tourists and vehicles at every scenic, as a result, how to effectively solve problems between ecological environment protection and tourist development, how to wisely handle abnormal events of the scenes, such as quick response for incidences, safety of tourists, people/vehicles evacuation and so on. In this paper,...
Growing interest in information security technologies and security investments has resulted in many studies analyzing the information security investment process of firms and individuals. Existing studies, however, have focused on illustrating the behavior of a defender or an attacker unilaterally rather than observing the interaction of two players simultaneously. This study, therefore, expands the...
HP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) is a kind of method that people use frequently in the financial performance evaluation. Traditional AHP method often leads to uncertainty of information cognition considering the uncertainty of person's cognition. It's not easy to get good results only with AHP. According to 3E principle of financial expenditure, this paper proposes the strategy which combines the gray...
The integration of photovoltaic generation into the power grid is one of the most significant measures for the guarantee of national energy security, the construction of low-carbon society and the enforcement of National Twelfth Five Years Plan in China. Based on the in-depth surveys, this paper presents the framework of the infrastructure construction planning of photovoltaic generation from the...
Security is the most basic demand of human being. Every country in the world attaches much importance to the security, especially the public security. One country that wants to obtain continuous, long and stable development must take man as the end, build up the scientific concept of development, and place prominently important emphasis on security. In this paper, we put forward the method, thought...
In Western corporate finance theory, the Pecking order Theory suggests that when the company needs financing externally, it should firstly debt financing then equity financing. The reason is that the company will face more serious adverse selection in equity financing. However, Chinese enterprises usually have a strong preference on equity financing, this article estimates the intrinsic IPO value...
In this paper we establish a reputation mechanism model, based on the effective reaction of rational investors to fresh news, to regard the supervision ability as an endogenous variable, and therefore to analyze the relationship among the listed company, the regulatory authority and the exterior investors. This model may contribute to realization of the exterior investors' self-protection by impelling...
A large number of non performing assets in financial institutions is an important reason for causation and deterioration of financial crisis. Asset securitization is considered the effective way to deal with NPA. The key issue of restricting securitization is the selection of NPA. Firstly this paper introduced definition and market players of asset securitization. Secondly, it put forward the principles...
To avoid the defects of traditional mathematical approach evaluating on urban-rural continuum passenger transportation system, and the subjective interference to determine the index weight. A new fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, combining with the improved analytic hierarchy process (IAHP) to determine the index weight, is introduced in this paper. This method can make up for the original defects,...
Optimization method with triangular fuzzy numbers is introduced to describe the expected yield rate and risk loss of securities investment, and a combinational fuzzy optimization model of inclinations with exchange fee to avoid risks is presented in this paper. The experimental results on the data investigated from real-world securities markets show that our new method exploits a new strategy for...
Urgent logistics is a complicated system, and the support capability evaluation for urgent logistics have a large number of attributes or aspects. The analytical hierarchy process (AHP) is a simple and effective way for multi-criterion and multi-objective analysis in system analysis and system assessment. In this paper, the meaning of urgent logistics and the general principle of AHP are first introduced...
Ecological Security Assessment is a new field in Sustainable Development study. In order to curb the deterioration of the ecological environment, we should conduct timely researches on the comprehensive evaluation of ecological security, which is recognized as the most powerful method to protect the regional economy effectively. Based on the sequence data of 1987, 2000 and 2005, the study takes Hebei...
Any significant decision making process involves dealing with many complexities including spatial interactions, temporal changes, interdependencies between system components and risk and uncertainties associated with decision choices. In this paper, we attempt to capture part of these complexities using an evolutionary game theoretic framework. At the heart of this framework is a game called InterDependent...
In this paper we describe an effort which is under way at Carnegie Mellon University (CMU) in the Electric Energy Systems Group (EESG). We refer to this effort as the Dynamic Monitoring and Decision Systems (DYMONDS) initiative. Its objective is to develop an Information Technology (IT)-enabled framework in support of sustainable evolution of today's electric power systems into future energy systems...
When we want to gain the weight of several influencing factors without sufficient data, we use the Analytic Hierarchy Process method. But sometimes this method may be a little inaccuracy, for the weights of the inner process are decided by manpower. This paper takes the background of food security to provide an improved Analytic Hierarchy Process method, which conduct the Analytic Hierarchy Process...
Information security managers with fixed budgets must invest in security measures to mitigate increasingly severe threats whilst maintaining the alignment of their systems with their organization's business objectives. The state of the art lacks a systematic methodology to support security investment decision-making. We describe a methodology that integrates methods from multi-attribute utility evaluation...
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