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Determining threshold values of key economic security indices describing an economic situation in any country is an important stage in the assessment of the country's economic stability. Threshold values must be periodically reevaluated due to their continuous deterioration as far as the global economic environment is undergoing changes. The authors offer a rough estimate method for achieving this...
On the basis of summarizing the definition of modern service industry from many scholars, this paper proposes the author's understanding of modern service industry and establishes evaluation index system of modern service industry in China. By using factor analysis in multivariate statistical method, the development level of modern service industry in 31 provinces of China is analyzed, revealing the...
We propose a new approach for analyzing the Japanese government bond (JGB) market using text-mining technology. First, we extracted the feature vectors of the monthly reports from the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Then, the trends in the JGB market were estimated by a regression analysis using the feature vectors. As a result of comparison with support vector regression and other methods, the proposal method...
Nowadays, the interrelationship study issues between energy consumption and economic development draw researchers' attention to study deeply in the world. We must find out what correlation exists between them. The problem which makes decision analysis solve the energy and the economy in according to researchers has become an important content of the coordinated development. Beijing, as the capital...
The selection of Client is the key point of the operation in port, select an excellent client will make the use of resource more reasonable, and increase the benefit of port. A system of evaluation and selection indexes for coal client selection is put forward based on the fact of Qinhuangdao Port Group, and establish a model of the selection of coal client, then use rough sets extract the decision-making...
On base of analyzing the situation of recycling economy of coal enterprises and establishing the principle of indication system, an evaluation-index system was established, which included four levels structure (economy development, resource utilization, social development and recycling system) and twenty-two indications. According to comparing all kinds of methods of recycling economy, and considering...
It is an important task to achieve a new-type industrialization for China's economic construction at present, and it become a important subject that how to evaluate the level of new-type industrialization level for the government sector and the academia. In this paper, an evaluation index system of new-type industrialization is built from seven aspects those are development stage of industrialization,...
The prefectural-level economy is a connection point between city economy and rural economy in country, and lies in the special position of the link in the national economic system. For the characteristics of the prefectural-level economy development, this paper puts forward evaluation of prefectural-level economy sustainable development ability of the method by factor analysis. The paper chooses sustainable...
The core of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is membership degree transformation. But the existing transformation methods should be questioned, because redundant data in index membership degree is also used to compute object membership degree, which is not useful for object classification. The paper applied an improved algorithm for membership degree transformation in fuzzy evaluation on urban green...
Based on post-WTO sample data, this paper investigates the interaction among commodity price index, PPI and CPI after China has entered World Trade Organization (WTO) and fulfilled its promise of opening certain sectors. Granger casualty test is employed to conduct this research and the test result shows that the most international commodity price index, Rogers International Commodity Index (RICI),...
With the increased competition of commercial banks, the customers have been the bone of contention of commercial banks. However, not all of the customers could bring huge profits to the commercial banks, and the ??20-80 rule?? is remain in commercial banks. From customer lifetime value of commercial banks, the appraisal indicator system of commercial banks lifetime value is established. And the unascertained...
The core of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is membership degree transformation. But the existing transformation methods should be questioned, because redundant data in index membership degree is also used to compute object membership degree, which is not useful for object classification. The paper eliminated the redundant data in index membership for object classification by defining distinguishable...
The financial crisis is an ongoing crisis triggered by a dramatic rise in mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures in the world now, with major adverse consequences for listed companies around the globe. And computer industry enterprise in China must enhance their competitiveness force to increase market share. This paper constructs competitiveness evaluation index system of the listed companies in...
During the last three decades since the implementation of the Open Door policy, the tourism industry in Hubei Province has experienced rapid development with the great support and emphasis from government. The year of 2009 is the final year to implement the ??Eleventh Five-Year Plan?? and also the most critical year for government to increase 4 trillion yuan investment in infrastructure to expand...
Based on the non-parametric DEA and Malmquist index, this paper studies total factor efficiency of fifteen cities' financial service industry (FSI) in China during the year of 2000 to 2006. According to study objective, total factor productivity (TFP), as well as factors' degree of contribution, is analyzed. Eventually, the conclusion is obtained that the increase in TFP of China's financial service...
In order to assess the `total emission reduction in provincial level', this paper proposes an index system including environment, policy, economy and engineering. And according to the requirement of `veto by one vote', the index weight is decided by analytic hierarchy process and variable weight method, based on which a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model for emission reduction in provincial level...
This paper creates a preference index of credit behavior to describe the behavior preference and the risk preference of banks, introduces the implementation and loosening of capital requirements into calculation model, conducts an empirical test by making use of 522 data sample points of 29 banks in the China from 2002 to 2006. It gets the conclusions that the more rigorous capital requirements will...
In this paper early warning system financial stability proposes by using fuzzy logic inference and fuzzy Markov model. The system are demonstrated applying financial information of the Azerbaijan Republic.
This article introduces amethod to predict upward and downward monthly variations of the Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) index by using a pool of macro-economic and financial explanatory variables. The method is based on the combination of a denoising step, performed by Kalman filtering, with a variable selection step, performed by a Lasso-type procedure. In particular, we propose an implementation...
The paper contributes to the literature in two ways. For academics, we present original discussions on combining an interdisciplinary mean variance model and a goal programming method. For practitioners, we present an original discussion on using a DSS to support index investing. The results of an empirical survey of the Taiwan stock market are also presented.
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