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This paper discusses how various kinds of major economic factors affect China's tax growth. We apply the panel unit root testing, panel co integration testing and panel-based error correction models to analyze the long-term stable relationship among tax growth, GDP growth, optimization of industrial structure and import for 30 provinces during 1994-2008 periods. The empirical results show that in...
Energy plays a fundamental role in an economy. Turkey has the world's 15th largest GDP-Purchasing power parity and 17th largest Nominal GDP. Economists and political scientists classify Turkey as a newly industrialized country. In this study, an alternative model for Turkey's energy consumption is proposed for the time between 1980 and 2004. Artificial neural network based model (ANN) is preferred...
This paper presents an adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) for long-term natural Electric consumption prediction. Six models are proposed to forecast annual Electric demand. 104 ANFIS have been constructed and tested in order to finding best ANFIS for Electric consumption. The proposed models consist of input variables such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Population (POP). All...
Selecting gross domestic product(GDP) and gross output from 1990 to 2007 of Henan Province as time series, this paper constructs triple exponential smoothing models to predict GDP and gross output in 2010 and 2012 of Henan Province, and then draws up the price input-output tables in 2010 and 2012 for Henan Province by means of prorate distribution and the RAS approach according to the predicted values...
Empirical Study on the relation between direct financing in the capital market and economical development in China was carried out with co-integration test and error correction model based on the annual data from 1981 to 2009. The results indicated that there is long/short run and stationary positive relation between direct financing and gross domestic product (GDP). It's found that direct financing...
Scientific decision is normally based on the scientific data or valid information. The forest carbon sinks information of Fujian Province, China was simulated by the boreal ecosystem productivity simulator (BEPS) and validated by the field measurement sample from other researchers. Then the forest net ecosystem productivity (NEP) information was used to analyze the low carbon development situation...
In order to investigate the global financial crisis's impact on logistics industry quantitatively, this paper selects 10 logistics listed companies respectively from China and US stock market as samples, calculates the default distances of the companies based on KMV model which is first proposed by US KMV company, analyzes the trend of credit risk change from the third quarter of 2008 to the third...
The implementation of non-equilibrium development through non-balance policy among different regions is one of the most significant characteristics of China mode. The regional development mode supported by the regional plans and policies in China is stepping into regional coordination development after the stages of the initial development of the eastern area, development of the west, revitalization...
Based on the Granger causality theory, this paper analyses the relationship of the building industry and the gross domestic product of Shaanxi province in China , using the C-D production function concerning technology advance, this paper also establishes the production function of Shaanxi building industry and offers some advices for the building industry growing style.
This paper studies the demand for China's foreign exchange reserves. Previous research using econometric models in this area has a common problem that demand was replaced by the actual holdings, namely, assuming foreign exchange reserves achieve equilibrium at any time. In order to avoid the problem, the current study builds a dynamic demand model of China's foreign exchange reserves by the method...
Using co-integration and Granger causality test, based on the data of 1985-2008, discusses the relationship between Chinese civil aviation and economic. The results show that there is a stability positive relationship between the development of civil aviation and economic in the long term. Creating error model to illustrate the dynamic equilibrium exists of them. Granger causality test shows that...
This paper presents an adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS)-fuzzy data envelopment analysis (FDEA)) for long-term natural gas (NG) consumption forecasting and analysis. Six models are proposed to forecast annual NG demand. 104 ANFIS have been constructed and tested in order to find the best ANFIS for natural gas (NG) consumption. Two parameters have been considered in construction...
This paper presents the growth effect of Chinese government non-tax revenue spending on its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) using the variance Decomposition Technique. The results show that Government Purchase (GP) expenditures have a significant explanatory power on the long-run economic growth. Whereas, Government Non-Tax Revenue Expenditure (GNR) and the Government Fundamental Investment (GFI) have...
As the international prices of energy resources keep rising, some countries are trying to adjust their overseas energy strategies in order to gain more benefits. This paper, viewing from China's standpoint, analyzes the case of dynamic game with incomplete information under the Harsanyi transformation based on KMRW reputation model. Taking the China-Japan, China-India energy game cases for instance,...
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the environmental and economic effects of trade liberalization, we use a Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to examine the impact of a trade bloc consisting of the US and China. We find some macro-economic variables such as gross domestic product (GDP), disposable income, import, export, production and consumption increases for two members of the trade...
The rationality of the existing toll standard is analyzed empirically, considering psychological tolerance of residents to freeway toll standard, the changes in transportation demand characteristics before and after toll standard changed as well as the relationship between the transportation volume and transportation distance and gross domestic product (GDP) and industrial structure. The research...
The traditional spatial distributions of GDP(Gross domestic product) are calculated on the basis of administrative boundaries. This paper establishes a simulated spatial GDP model and update model instead of the traditional statistical distributions of social and economic output value which based on administrative boundaries. We use the grid analysis technology and statistical analysis technology,...
The illustrative example of application of genetic programming on the area of economics system is described in this paper. With application of genetic programming can be designed model which corresponds with real data of gross domestic product. We compare three ways of determining of gross domestic product. Genetic programming is also suitable for creating the mathematical models of soft systems....
The research tries to give response to a question that all Venezuelan people constantly ask: are economic resources of the nation well administered? Based on this question, we realize a study on the efficiency and the productivity of the State in the use of the gross domestic product (GDP) for generating social welfare, to increase the economic levels of the country and to cancel the foreign debt...
This paper presents a neuro-based approach for Iran annual gasoline demand forecasting by several socio-economic indicators. In order to analyze the influence of economic and social indicators on the gasoline demand, the gross domestic product (GDP), the population and the total number of vehicles are selected. This approach is structured as a multi-level artificial neural network (ANN) based on supervised...
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