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In the framework of competitive electricity markets, power producers and consumers need accurate price forecasting tools. Price forecasts embody crucial information for producers and consumers when planning bidding strategies in order to maximize their benefits and utilities, respectively. The choice of the forecasting model becomes the important influence factor how to improve price forecasting accuracy...
Forecasting accuracy is the most important factor selecting any forecasting methods. Research for improving the accuracy of forecasting models has never been stopped. The idea in this paper is simple and old while the practice is straightforward using the software technology in use. We intend to filter out the residuals from a multivariate time series causality model by a univariate (residual term)...
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