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In this paper, a forecasting method, combining grey model (GM) with partial least squares regression (PLS), was applied to forecasting city terminal energy consumption for the first time. PLS is of the advantage of overcoming the correlative affect among independent variables, distinguishing the system signal from noises, and explaining dependent variables well; GM (1, 1) model is able to overcome...
With the theory support of "the first law of geography" the spatial variance of the land use landscape in Haidian District of Beijing is analyzed with the geostatistic tool and grid sampling method. The spatial organization and mechanism of urbanization can be well understood by the reveal of spatial characteristics of artificial impact and ecological effect. The results show that: (1) the...
In this paper we develop a tool (DALSIM - delivery areas and logistics simulation), following the hybrid model described in our previous work that uses the operations research and systems dynamics. The tool is composed of two modules: a module for the simulation of delivery areas at local level based on queuing systems, and the second one simulates the spread of the obstruction on the overall flow...
Understanding the dynamics of disease spread is of crucial importance, in contexts such as estimating load on medical services to risk assessment and intervention policies against large-scale epidemic outbreaks. However, most of the information is available after the spread itself, and preemptive assessment is far from trivial. Here, we investigate the use of agent-based simulations to model such...
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