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The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) is responsible for a climatically significant northward heat transport that is expected to decrease in response to anthropogenic global warming. Here, simulations from an ensemble of UK Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Models (HadGEM1, HadGEM2 and a 22 member perturbed physics ensemble of HadCM3-like models) are used to evaluate detection times...
Sea level change predicted by the CMIP5 atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) is not spatially homogeneous. In particular, the sea level change in the North Atlantic is usually characterised by a meridional dipole pattern with higher sea level rise north of 40°N and lower to the south. The spread among models is also high in that region. Here we evaluate the role of surface buoyancy...
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