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This article proposes a new multivariate method to construct business cycle indicators. The method is based on a decomposition into trend-cycle and irregular. To derive the cycle, a band-pass filter is applied to the estimated trend-cycle. The whole procedure is fully model based. Its performance is evaluated in relation to the approach by Creal et al. (J Appl Econom 25:695–719, 2010). Using the same...
This study empirically examines the impact of credit guarantees for small and medium enterprises (SMEs) on the business cycle in Korea, using quarterly time series data over the period 2002–2012. Credit guarantees are denoted by the total amount of credit guarantees provided by three authorities in Korea, and the business cycle consists of two volatilities, that is, real GDP per capita and industrial...
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