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Unorganized neural networks — or unorganized machines - are recent developed architectures in the field of computational intelligence, in which the supervised tuning of the free parameters is restricted to the weights of the output layer, by means of a linear least square solution. The remaining weights are randomly generated and stand untrained which become the adjustment process simple and fast...
This paper propose that the combination of smoothing approach taking into account the entropic information provided by Renyi' method, has an acceptable performance in term of forecasting errors. The methodology of the proposed scheme is examined through benchmark chaotic time series, such as Mackay Glass, Lorenz, Henon maps, the Lynx and rainfall from Santa Francisca series, with addition of white...
Accurate load forecasts are required in most tasks of energy planning. In this paper we present a hybrid method for short-term load forecasting. We combined Exponential Smoothing, a classical method for time series forecasting, with Gradient Boosting, a powerful machine learning algorithm. The proposed model was tested with real data and the results showed a considerable improvement in forecasting...
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