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This paper proposes a novel technique to forecast day-ahead electricity prices based on Panel Cointegration (PC). The current researches on the electricity price forecasting focus on the analysis of unstable economic time series. However, due to the difference of the allocation of power resource and consumption in different regions, the time series of electricity consumption and sales price in a single...
This paper presents a forecasting technique to predict next-day electricity spot prices and volatilities. Our technique combines a fundamental model formulated as supply stack modeling, with an econometric analysis based on the GARCH methodology. Empirical results from the wholesale electricity market of Great Britain are discussed.
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