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In this paper, a systematic risk-based transmission line expansion approach is studied. The approach addresses three objectives: load-driven expansion, security-enhancement expansion and risk-based expansion. The first problem identifies transmission expansions necessary to correct inadequacy; the second problem identifies transmission expansion necessary to correct insecurity; the third problem balances...
The objective of this paper is to introduce analytical models for accurate prediction of failure probabilities of existing shield wires and to recommend a time window for wire replacement at an acceptable failure threshold. Ductile and strength tests results and failures records of shield wires were examined to determine the trend of wires deteriorations as they age. Since most of failures occurred...
This paper describes the mid-continent area power pool (MAPP) transmission equipment outage data collection scheme and presents bulk transmission line average outage statistics for forced outage category for the 230 kV and above systems computed using the data for the ten-year operating period from 1991 to 2000. In addition, a causal and seasonal contribution to forced outages of bulk transmission...
Multi-stage decision making, a fundamental tenet of stochastic programming, resonates well with the practice of the electricity markets. The day-ahead market, used to commit the generators, bears uncertainty in the power demand and physical conditions of the generators and transmission lines. The situation becomes less uncertain in the real-time market, where the dispatch is decided. Although traditional...
In this paper it is proposed an efficient contingency screening and ranking algorithm for assessment and classification of multiple contingencies of an Electric Power System using the Rough Set theory. The developed methodology produces a classification of the system operation in five possible states: normal, alert, emergency, in-extremis and restorative. These different operating states correspond...
There is growing interest in designing and applying deterministic techniques that include probabilistic considerations in order to assess increased system stress due to the restructured electricity environment. The overall reliability framework proposed in this paper incorporates the deterministic N-1 criterion in a probabilistic framework, and results in the joint inclusion of both adequacy and static...
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