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As one of the significant reform methods to improve the management level of government investment project, agent-construction system has been applied in many places. During the process of agent construction, agent assumes considerable risk. This paper identifies the main risks of agent. Based on the analytic hierarchy process method, the main risk and relative influence factors are analyzed and evaluated...
It is important issue for the study of method of the project risk assessment. The quantitative method is used to resolve construction project risk assessment in this paper. Firstly, the study of project risk management and risk assessment is made a review. Secondly, the project risk management systematic framework is constructed, which include five purchases: risk identification, risk assessment,...
Risk is an inherent attribute of knowledge chain. Firstly, the article articulates different risks in knowledge chain. Secondly, it puts forward five steps of risk appraisal in knowledge chain and analyzes the steps. Ultimately, it establishes three risk control tactics according to the result of risk appraisal, that is, controlling the risks by all the knowledge chain members, transferring the risks...
Collaborative innovation is an important means to enhance the competitiveness and the vitality of enterprises in the 21st century, and is an effective way to create and accumulate knowledge. The key risk factors are analyzed for the one of knowledge transfer and a matter- element model of risks is built by the extension method, and then through practical research, an application method is provided...
This paper makes a theoretical and practical study on enterprise risk management based on combination of risk management theory and actual case. The article uses relevant theory and methods to analyze the risk management result of the SHELL ENTERPRISE case, and summarizes systematically the process and functions of risk identification, risk analysis, risk management and risk control, which is reference...
This paper combines the situation of supply of iron and steel enterprises in China, putting forward the significance and necessity of research on supply risk of iron and steel enterprises; describes the supply risk of iron and steel enterprises on the basis of literatures reviewing; and applies social system theory into analysis of supply risk identification framework of iron and steel enterprises'...
After systematic analysis of risk factors of information security and assessment process, a quantitative security assessment method is presented based on fuzzy number operations. Both the fuzziness of the indices and the uncertainty of weight determination are considered. Then the grades of fuzzy language variables are given, and the opinions of multi experts are integrated to triangular fuzzy numbers...
Quantile regression is a basic tool for estimating conditional quantiles of a response variable Y given a vector of regressors X. It can be used to measure the effect of regressors not only in the center of a distribution, but also in the upper and lower tails. In this paper we use the Archimedean Copula nonlinear conditional quantile regression model to measure the tail area risk dependence in Shanghai...
Risk assessment, a critical process for project evaluation and investment, is one of the most important steps in IT projects implementation. Current qualitative and quantitative methods include analytic hierarchy process (AHP), artificial neural network (ANN), causality analysis, fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, etc. But most of them suffer from one of these two shortcomings: 1) the evaluation process...
With the rapid development of underground metropolitan transportation, the problem of safety risks, especially the fire risks, have always been accorded great attention by researchers and practitioners. In order to reduce the uncertainty of fire risks in underground metropolitan transportation, the main objective of this paper is to devise a proactive approach to dynamically predict and control conditions...
This paper studies the error of the asymptotic estimation of the deficit distribution for insurer by a monotone integral operator in a Markov chain interest discrete time risk model. Further, we obtain some bounds of the asymptotic error of the asymptotic estimation formula. These bounds can improve the performance of previous models.
Information quality (IQ) is a critical factor in the success of the data mining (DM). Therefore, it is essential to measure the risk of IQ in a data warehouse to ensure success in implementing DM. This paper presents a methodology to determine two IQ characteristics-accuracy and comprehensiveness-that are of critical importance to decision makers. This methodology can examine how the quality risks...
Risks of construction project are aroused by a series of factors with hierarchical structure, which includes main risk factors and sub-risk factors. Using the multidimensional features of risk factors to form utility function, and according to the evaluations of values of sub-risks given by experts to calculate the weights and then get the evaluations of main risks. Then we could use the results to...
In this paper, the necessity of the establishment of risk management system for construction enterprises is expounded first, and then a new risk management concept for construction enterprises on projects is proposed through the analysis on the construction enterprise risk management theory and practical experience on the basis of the progress of construction enterprises. The new risk management concept...
Banks cooperate with logistic firms and develop purchase-order financing, which can solve financial difficulty of SMEs in supply chain effectively. Based on the analysis of control mode of purchase-order financing, a process-focused business risk analysis model is established. Model analysis shows: process risk of implementing purchase order is the most important factor impacting business security;...
In China, project finance is still in an exploratory stage. Generally speaking, in practice as well as in literature there is a considerable gap between China and Western developed countries. Therefore, how to push forward and improve project finance in theory as an academic guidance needs urgent explorations. In the light of China's unique features, this paper, with the help of the game theory, has...
This paper studies dynamic risk evaluation for enterprise embedding in cluster. A multi-stages and multi-layers risk comprehensive estimation model is established according to evaluation principle of fuzzy mathematics, and the stage's risk affecting on total process can be calculated based on the model after the multi-stages and multi-layers risk is analyzed. In the end, a case study is given to show...
Longevity risk is an important risk factor for payments of pension annuities. Securitization of this risk can offer great opportunities for hedging. The purpose of this article is to design longevity bonds, payments of which depend on the survival index of a certain population. Considering characteristics of the people survival and interest rates market, Feller process with jumps is used to model...
This paper summarizes the contractor selection criteria and performs an in-depth analysis about the risk of contractor selection. It constructs an evaluation system which can reduce the risks and improve the maneuverability under consideration of the characteristics of telecommunication project. Finally it applies the evaluation system to a specific project from a manufacturing company in telecommunication...
Hierarchy model of real estate investment risk is established. Through using triangular fuzzy numbers and analytic hierarchy process, we have evaluated the risk of real estate, and identified the risk factors for the overall impact on real estate investment project.
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