Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Items from 1 to 18 out of 18 results

article

Agent-based simulation of policy induced diffusion of smart meters

Martin Rixen, Jürgen Weigand

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 153-167

How can policy makers influence the path of innovation diffusion effectively and efficiently? We tackle this question in an agent-based model that integrates demand and supply for Smart Meters. Consumers adopt due to awareness and attainment of price thresholds. Suppliers act strategically upon Cournot competition. We add different policies to the simulation and analyze effects on speed and level...

article

Evaluation and design of innovation policies in the agro-food sector: An application of multilevel self-regulating agents

Dimitri Gagliardi, Francesco Niglia, Cinzia Battistella

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 40-57

The aim of this paper is to explore the possibilities offered by agent-base modelling techniques in evaluating the impact of alternative sets of innovation policies on the system where these are implemented and on its actors. The policies selected for this exercise are inspired by the Regional Government's policy document — the Programme for Rural Development (2007–2013) of the Puglia Region, Italy...

article

Probing “green” industry enterprises in the UK: A new identification approach

Philip Shapira, Abdullah Gök, Evgeny Klochikhin, Marianne Sensier

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 93-104

There is a growing interest in innovation for sustainability and the development of green industries and green jobs. But how can green industries, green manufacturing jobs, and green goods innovation be measured? This paper probes current and recent attempts to define and measure these categories, with a focus on studies in the UK. We review the methods, estimates and trends contained in these studies...

article

The influence of information and communication technology (ICT) on future foresight processes — Results from a Delphi survey

Jonas Keller, Heiko A. von der Gracht

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 81-92

Information and communication technology (ICT) tools are increasingly being used to implement foresight exercises. Until now, it has not been analyzed how this development affects the quality and structure of foresight processes. In this paper, a Delphi study is conducted to analyze the future path of ICT in foresight and to identify channels by which ICT drives progress in foresight and where there...

article

Comment on de Haan et al., “The Needs of Society”

Govert Geldof

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 133

article

Determinants of quadic patenting: Market access, imitative threat, competition and strength of intellectual property rights

Can Huang, Jojo Jacob

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 4-16

This paper analyzes firms' decisions to seek intellectual property rights in global markets, particularly in China. We introduce the notion of a ‘quadic patent,’ defined as a patent family that consists of patent applications filed at the European Patent Office, the Japanese Patent Office, the United States Patent and Trademark Office, and the national patent office of a fourth country. We examine...

article

International scientific collaboration between Australia and China: A mixed-methodology for investigating the social processes and its implications for national innovation systems

Xiao Si Niu

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 58-68

This article is based on a study of international scientific collaboration between Australia and China. The analytical approach adopted for this research takes the concept of scientific and technical human capital (STHC) as a starting point and seeks to explain the role and the extent to which collaboration networks can be utilized as a potential source for gaining access to flows of knowledge, that...

article

Collaborative foresight: Complementing long-horizon strategic planning

Kirk Weigand, Thomas Flanagan, Kevin Dye, Peter Jones

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 134-152

An action case study demonstrates an effective integration of collaborative planning using long-range foresight in a hierarchical government research organization. The purpose of the study was to evaluate the effectiveness of collaborative, bottom-up strategic planning as a complement to top-down strategizing. Large research institutions plan investment over long time horizons and must cope with significant...

article

Signs of things to come? What patent submissions by small and medium-sized enterprises say about corporate strategies in emerging technologies

Luciano Kay, Jan Youtie, Philip Shapira

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 17-25

The management of intellectual property (IP) – particularly in the form of patents – has become of increasing importance to technology-oriented small and mid-sized businesses. Such companies adopt diverse strategies to develop and exploit knowledge as they move along innovation pathways from research and development (R&D) to technology commercialization. This investigation examines IP submissions...

article

Improving industrial R&D practices with social and ethical aspects: Aligning key performance indicators with social and ethical aspects in food technology R&D

Steven M. Flipse, Maarten C.A. van der Sanden, Patricia Osseweijer

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 185-197

Policy makers encourage integrating Social and Ethical Aspects (SEAs) in Research and Development (R&D) for the responsible development and deployment of future and emerging technologies, including Nanotechnology and Life Sciences. However, R&D project leaders in industry generally do not integrate SEAs explicitly in their daily practice. Furthermore, to what extent SEAs improve R&D remains...

article

Editorial Board

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > IFC

article

“Term clumping” for technical intelligence: A case study on dye-sensitized solar cells

Yi Zhang, Alan L. Porter, Zhengyin Hu, Ying Guo, more

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 26-39

Tech Mining seeks to extract intelligence from Science, Technology & Innovation information record sets on a subject of interest. A key set of Tech Mining interests concerns which R&D activities are addressed in the publication and patent abstract records under study. This paper presents six “term clumping” steps that can clean and consolidate topical content in such text sources. It examines...

article

Surface- and deep-level diversity in panel selection — Exploring diversity effects on response behaviour in foresight

Alexander Spickermann, Martin Zimmermann, Heiko A. von der Gracht

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 105-120

In addition to foresight research endeavours that focus on the application of the Delphi survey technique, numerous research articles have dealt with the method itself: namely improving the Delphi technique's task and process characteristics. Particularly in Policy Delphi surveys and related variations that strive to explore opposing views, the diversity of the Delphi panel has been scrutinised. In...

article

Effects on diversity of R&D sources and human capital on industrial performance

Jun-You Lin

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 168-184

This study conducts a 9-year longitudinal analysis on the effects of diversity of R&D sources, diversity of human capital, innovation infrastructure and academic knowledge on industrial performance. Here, I suggest there is an inverse U-shaped relationship between diversity of R&D sources and industrial performance. Industrial performance is also related to diversity of human capital in a...

article

Introduction to special issue on Innovative methods for innovation management and policy

Ying Guo, Abdullah Gok, Jan Youtie

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 1-3

article

Serial and comparative analysis of innovation policy change

Marja-Liisa Niinikoski, Johanna Moisander, M.L. Niinikoski, J. Moisander

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 69-80

Much of the existing literature on innovation policy analyzes policy change as an outcome of rational, cognitive processes, where the availability of new information prompts policy-makers to rethink and revise their policies. This paper aims to broaden this perspective by building a new methodological approach, Serial Comparative Analysis (SCA), to the analysis of policy change. SCA is proposed as...

article

A fuzzy AHP to prioritize enabling factors for strategic management of university business incubators: Resource-based view

Nisakorn Somsuk, Tritos Laosirihongthong

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 198-210

University business incubators (UBIs) are organizations designed to accelerate national economic development by assisting start-up firms, particularly new technology-based firms during their growth and development phase. The purposes of this study are to identify the enabling factors influencing the success of UBIs with respect to specific internal resources, and to explore the priority of these factors,...

article

The needs of society: A new understanding of transitions, sustainability and liveability

Fjalar J. de Haan, Briony C. Ferguson, Rachelle C. Adamowicz, Phillip Johnstone, more

Technological Forecasting & Social Change > 2014 > 85 > Complete > 121-132

Transitions studies have long been concerned with sustainability and, more recently, liveability. Throughout its growth into a research field in its own right, transitions have been suggested as essential in overcoming the socio-technical lock-ins that make many of today's infrastructural solutions and servicing systems untenable. Likely for that reason, transitions and the systems in need of them...

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85
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2014

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Keywords

AGENT-BASED MODELING (1)
AGENT-BASED MODELLING (1)
AGRO-FOOD SECTOR (1)
BDI (1)
COLLABORATIVE PLANNING (1)
COMPETITIVE DYNAMICS (1)
COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE (1)
COMPLEX SYSTEMS DYNAMICS (1)
CORPORATE STRATEGIES (1)
DATA (1)
DEFINITION OF INDUSTRIES (1)
DELPHI METHOD (1)
DISCOURSE (1)
DIVERSITY MANAGEMENT (1)
DSSCS (1)
DYE-SENSITIZED SOLAR CELLS (1)
EXTREME RESPONSE STYLE (ERS) (1)
FORESIGHT (1)
FORESIGHT SUPPORT SYSTEMS, ICT (1)
FUZZY AHP (1)
GREEN INDUSTRY (1)
IMITATIVE THREAT (1)
INDUCED DIFFUSION (1)
INDUSTRIAL COMPETITIVENESS (1)
INFLUENCE MAPPING (1)
INNOVATION (1)
INNOVATION ADOPTION (1)
INNOVATION MANAGEMENT (1)
INNOVATION POLICY (1)
INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY (1)
INTERNATIONAL PATENTING (1)
INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC COLLABORATION (1)
INTERNATIONALIZATION OF R&D (1)
JADEX (1)
KNOWLEDGE NETWORKS (1)
KNOWLEDGE-BASED VIEWS (1)
LIVEABILITY (1)
MEASUREMENT (1)
MIDSTREAM MODULATION (1)
MULTIMODAL MOBILITY (1)
MULTINATIONAL CORPORATIONS (1)
NANOTECHNOLOGY (1)
NATIONAL INNOVATION SYSTEM (1)
PANEL DIVERSITY (1)
PATENTS (1)
POLICY CHANGE (1)
POLICY DELPHI (1)
POLICY KNOWLEDGE (1)
POLICY-MAKING PRACTICES (1)
PROJECT MANAGEMENT (1)
QUADIC PATENT FAMILY (1)
R&D AND HUMAN CAPITAL (1)
RESOURCE-BASED VIEW (1)
SAMPLING (1)
SCIENCE (1)
SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY STUDIES (1)
SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL HUMAN CAPITAL (1)
SCIENTISTS' MOBILITY (1)
SERIAL AND COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS (SCA) (1)
SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISES (1)
SMART METERING (1)
SOCIAL AND ETHICAL ASPECTS (1)
SOCIETAL NEEDS (1)
ST&I DEVELOPMENT (1)
STRATEGIC FORESIGHT (1)
STRATEGY (1)
STRUCTURED DIALOGIC DESIGN (1)
SUSTAINABILITY (1)
TECH MINING (1)
TECHNICAL INTELLIGENCE (1)
TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION STUDIES (STI) (1)
TERM CLUMPING (1)
TEXT ANALYTICS (1)
TEXT CLUSTERING (1)
TRANSITIONS (1)
TRIADIC PATENT FAMILY (1)
UNIVERSITY BUSINESS INCUBATOR (1)
WAGENINGEN INNOVATION ASSESSMENT TOOL (1)
WATER SENSITIVE CITIES (1)
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Technological Forecasting and Social Change

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