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The analysis of changes in the research and development (R&D) environment and developing foresight of future technologies are increasingly recognized as important to support policy decision making and efficient resource distribution. Many futurists are developing foresight of future technologies based on Delphi studies, unfolding history, brainstorming, expert surveys, trend analysis, data mining,...
Adaptive policymaking (APM) is an approach for designing policies under conditions of deep uncertainty. As such, it explicitly takes into account the limits of futures research methods. Although it was proposed over ten years ago (in 2001) and many cases of its use in designing policies for various policy domains have been published, APM is still considered a theoretical approach. In this paper we...
Because of lags realigning common conceptions with evolving extant conditions, macroeconomic transitions typically engender pronounced collective dissonance. The 2007 financial crisis triggered such a process in several Anglo-European countries and large fissures have been opening up in recent years between societal expectations and lived experiences. Historical precedents for this situation can be...
This paper discusses South Korea's five alternative future scenarios in 2030 to increase our understanding of its long-term future by exploring the key question of ‘what will South Korea look like in the year 2030’ in terms of society, economy, politics, class, and other pertinent issues. Following Jim Dator's alternative futures method, the five alternative future scenarios include four alternative...
This paper examines and interprets the images of the future in both the pre-modern and modern era in South Korea. Future images in premodern Korea depended on social and political status. The ruling class had a Confucian utopia based on remote places and the golden age of ancient Chinese regimes. On the other hand, the oppressed, denied the Confucian ideal society, sought a classless society without...
We argue that science concerned with natural resource policy analysis is entering a new phase. In response to policy demands for triple-bottom-line assessments, developing transdisciplinary endeavours has been a primary focus, catalysing methodological innovations. However, the period of innovation has increased the divergence between a science domain characterised by increasing complexity of communicated...
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