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This paper reviews the scenario planning literature looking for answers for the following questions: How do qualitative and quantitative scenario methods differ and what are the advantages and disadvantages? What methods exist for quantitative scenario planning? Particularly quantitative scenario methods often lead to a large number of so-called “raw” scenarios that need to be further refined, discussed,...
Achieving the future targets for 2020 under the Convention on Biological Diversity, including that to halve the rate of habitat loss, will require rapid transformation to more effective governance. We present a global analysis of the transformative pathway of biodiversity using the social maturation framework of issue progression through six phases: Observation, Theorization, Popularization, Challenge,...
The dynamics and processes of how technologies progress and mature over time have been well researched, and this knowledge is used to understand and anticipate the speed and nature of technological change. In contrast, frameworks for analysing the emergence and ‘maturing’ of social issues have not as high a level of research. This paper presents a new framework for analysing social issues, introduces...
In ideal-typical terms, there are two ways that the current crisis of environmental sustainability can be resolved, either (1) through the development of advanced technologies that would allow humanity to transcend its planetary boundaries or (2) through the political and economic enforcement of those boundaries. The first option is likely to require massive investments in both people and technology...
Despite discussion of a ‘carbon lock-in’ and techno-institutional barriers to change, energy studies have had little serious contact with neo-Schumpeterian theorizing on technological ‘surges’ of creative destruction, which have characterized the entire industrial era from the 1770s on. In this paper a way is offered to link the current surge in renewable energy investment to the theorizing over long...
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