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Basing on the sample of typhoon from 2001 to 2010 for 10 years in the Northwest Pacific (NP), setting up the genetic-neural network prediction (GNNP) model which input predictors is using the methods of multidimensional scaling analysis (MDS) and Stepwise regression basing the predictors of climatology persistance to predict the typhoon intensity for 12, 24, 36, 48, 60 and 72 hour. The experimental...
In this paper, a novel neural network ensemble forecast model is developed where the stepwise regression method are chosen for forecast factors best correlated with the series of typhoon intensity, and the main information is extracted from remaining forecast factors where Locally Linear Embedding (LLE) method is used. Further the problem that network structure determination and network easily into...
A new calculation method for the input of the neural network ensemble prediction (NNEP) model has been developed based on the data mining technology using the feature extraction method of Empirical Orthogonal Function(EOF) and the stepwise regression method, for investigating the effect of different model input with the same dimension on the prediction capacity of the NNEP model. Taking typhoon intensity...
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