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Change dynamics of permafrost thaw, and associated changes in subsurface flow and seepage into surface water, are analysed for different warming trends in soil temperature at the ground surface with a three-phase two-component flow system coupled to heat transport. Changes in annual, seasonal and extreme flows are analysed for three warming-temperature trends, representing simplified climate-change...
Analysis of permafrost dynamics with a three-phase, two-component flow system coupled to heat transport is used to evaluate transient changes in groundwater seepage. Both seasonal and annual analysis of flow is conducted, assuming three warming temperature trends over a ten year period, representing three climate change scenarios. Previous results have indicated that a reduction in temporal variability...
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