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By discarding the previous restrictive weak average distribution assumption on region sizes, we have developed a new general probabilistic model on the regional voting (known as “direct popular voting” in political science) and the national voting (typically, the electoral college), where we regard the percentage of a candidate's supporters in the nation as the probability of a voter voting for the...
Analyzing the effect of concentrated noise on a typical decision-making process of a simplified two-candidate voting model, we have demonstrated that a local approach using a regional matching process is more robust and stable than a direct approach using a global matching process, by establishing that the former is capable of accommodating a higher level of noise than the latter before the result...
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