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The extended-range (10–30-day) rainfall forecast over the entire China was carried out using spatial–temporal projection models (STPMs). Using a rotated empirical orthogonal function analysis of intraseasonal (10–80-day) rainfall anomalies, China is divided into ten sub-regions. Different predictability sources were selected for each of the ten regions. The forecast skills are ranked for each region...
An extended singularity value decomposition based statistical model, namely the spatial–temporal projection model (STPM), was constructed for the extended-range (10–30-day) forecast of tropical outgoing longwave radiation anomalies (OLRA). The special feature of this empirical model is using the spatial and temporal information of predictor–predictand coupled patterns to predict the temporally varying...
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