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The penetration of mobile telephony exceeded 100% in only two countries in 2002, and with penetration of 108% Taiwan was the higher of the two. This study identifies the impetuses behind the accelerated growth of mobile telephony in Taiwan, in terms of the diffusion model and forces driving the diffusion. Model comparison methodology is introduced to identify the most appropriate diffusion model....
Analyzing the diffusion of mobile telephony initially involves estimating the driving forces and forecasting for diffusion based on a growth model. However, to our knowledge, no framework for model selection has been developed. To mitigate the randomness in model selection, this study presents a model comparison to analyze the diffusion of mobile telephony in China, which has the most mobile telephone...
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