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Analyzing mobile telephony diffusion involves identifying drivers and forecasting growth using a growth model. However, to our knowledge, no framework for model selection exists. To eliminate ad hoc model selection, this study presents a novel model-comparison method based on an analysis of mobile telephony diffusion in China, which accounts for one-fifth of global mobile telephony subscriptions....
Analyzing the diffusion of mobile telephony initially involves estimating the driving forces and forecasting for diffusion based on a growth model. However, to our knowledge, no framework for model selection has been developed. To mitigate the randomness in model selection, this study presents a model comparison to analyze the diffusion of mobile telephony in China, which has the most mobile telephone...
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