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This paper presents an approach of investment risk analysis for small hydro power plants (SHPPs) considering energy trade in the short-term market in Brazil. The Monte Carlo Method, associated with a Cholesky decomposition, is applied to stochastic models to generate synthetic time series for water inflow and short-term electricity price. An economic approach is presented taking into account taxation...
This research work presents a methodology for investment risk analysis in a photovoltaic power plant. Stochastic modeling are developed for the variables solar irradiance, photovoltaic panel temperature and price of electricity in the Brazilian spot market. A case study is presented to validate the applicability of the methodology. The method is developed considering various characteristics of the...
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