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For a market player, in order to perform an optimal risk management, it is important to have not only suitable price forecasting tools taking into account the most significant price drivers but also methods to quantify their accuracy. This paper proposes an intelligent system for price forecasting accuracy assessment (ISPF). The core of ISPF is a fuzzy interpolator of the effects of the price drivers;...
The electricity market experiences pronounced short term volatility due to its peculiarities, first of all continuous load variations associated to the impossibility to profitably store electric energy. Electricity price forecasting is extremely important for all market players and in particular for generating companies, that must manage their units, and the associated economic risk, in the short,...
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