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The Tohoku megathrust earthquake, which occurred on March 11, 2011 and had an epicenter that was 70 km east of Tohoku, Japan, resulted in an estimated ten’s of billions of dollars in damage and a death toll of more than 15 thousand lives, yet few studies have documented key spatio-temporal seismogenic characteristics. Specifically, the temporal decay of aftershock activity, the number of strong aftershocks...
Based on Gutenberg-Richter’s relation, Bath’s law, Omori’s law and Well’s relation of rupture scale, this paper forecasts the temporal decay, total number, possible area and greatest magnitude of strong aftershocks (greater than or equal to M6.0) of the MS8.0 Wenchuan earthquake by using the magnitude and statistical parameters of earthquakes in California area of USA. The number of strong aftershocks,...
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