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We intend to understand how decentralized planning through local interactions can result in large-scale change from inactivity to global action cascades characteristic of social revolutions as well as innovation adoption. Building on the dynamic threshold model of threshold learning and collection action proposed in [1], this paper investigates the diffusion process in a number of canonical graph...
An accurate forecast of runoff is very significant so that there is ample time for the pertinent authority to issue a forewarning of the impending flood. Due to the highly dimension and nonlinear, the calibration of hydrological model become very complex, so the unique “best” parameter set can not be obtained easily. In this study, an MCMC sampler entitled the Shuffled Complex Evolution Metropolis...
The objective of this study is to carry out reliability and risk analyses of a methodology of dynamically applying Flood Control Level (FCL) within a constraint boundary for the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) in middle China. The dynamic application model is based on the mid-term inflow forecasts, with different dispatching rules developed for forthcoming inflows of different magnitudes. The reliability...
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