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Based on the output data of the oil industry chain from February 2006 to June 2017, we construct a time‐varying parameter structural vector auto‐regression with stochastic volatility (TVP‐SVAR‐SV) model and specifically analyse the time‐varying effects and structural change of oil price shocks on China's output at each stage of the oil industrial chain. The results show that the effects of oil price...
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