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The NARX network is a dynamical neural architecture commonly used for input-output modeling of nonlinear dynamical systems. When applied to time series prediction, the NARX network is designed as a feedforward time delay neural network (TDNN), i.e., without the feedback loop of delayed outputs, reducing substantially its predictive performance. In this paper, it is shown that the original architecture...
Short term wind forecasting is a very important work to the operation of wind farms and power systems. In this paper, ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) effects of wind data series are analyzed with Eviews software. Firstly, an ARMA (Autoregressive Moving Average) model of wind speed time series is built. Secondly, ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) effect of the...
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