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An objective NWP-based cyclone prediction system (CPS) was implemented for the operational cyclone forecasting work over the Indian seas. The method comprises of five forecast components, namely (a) Cyclone Genesis Potential Parameter (GPP), (b) Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) technique for cyclone track prediction, (c) cyclone intensity prediction, (d) rapid intensification, and (e) predicting decaying...
The life cycle of Bay of Bengal cyclone GIRI, characterized by a rapid intensification during 36-h interval, is investigated. The cyclone under study underwent a period of explosive cyclogenesis from 0000 UTC 21 October to 1200 UTC 22 October 2010. During this period, the sea level pressure minimum at the center of cyclone dropped by 52 hPa. European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)...
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