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In deregulated power markets, forecasting electricity loads is one of the most essential tasks for system planning, operation and decision making. Based on an integration of two machine learning techniques: a hybrid evolutionary algorithm which combines PSO and Artificial Fish Swarm Algorithm Search approach based on test-sample error estimate criterion (PSO-AFSAS-TEE) and support vector regression...
Short-term electricity demand forecasting for the next hour to several days out is one of the most important tools by which an electric utility plans and dispatches the loading of generating units in order to meet system demand. But there exists chaos in electricity systems to a great extent. Complicated electricity systems are nonlinear systems and the forecasting is very complex in nature and quite...
Forecasting electricity consumption is an important index for system planning, operation and decision making. In order to improve the accuracy of the forecasting, we apply an integrated architecture to optimize the prediction. Based on an integration of two machine learning techniques: artificial fish swarm algorithm search approach based on test-sample error estimate criterion (AFSAS-TEE) and support...
Time series analysis is an important and complex problem in machine learning. Support vector machine (SVM) has recently emerged as a powerful technique for solving problems in regression, but its performance mainly depends on the parameters selection of it. Parameters selection for SVM is very complex in nature and quite hard to solve by conventional optimization techniques, which constrains its application...
In this paper, a new approach to ARMA model identification using evolutionary particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm has been proposed. ARMA is a popular method to analyze stationary univariate time series data. Stationarity checking, model identification, model estimation and model checking are usually four main stages to build an ARMA model and model identification is the most important stage...
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