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It is essential to estimate how much power can be delivered from vehicles to grid, called achievable power capacity (APC), for practical vehicle-to-grid (V2G) services. We propose a method of estimating the APC in a probabilistic manner. Its probability distribution is obtained from the normal approximation to the binomial distribution, and hence represented with two parameters, i.e., mean and covariance...
For V2G frequency regulation, an aggregator is essentially required to join the regulation market by gathering small-scale vehicle power. In this paper, we propose a method for an analytic estimation of the probability distribution regarding the procured power capacity (PPC). Using the obtained result, an optimal contract size is sought considering several possible types of penalty, each of which...
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