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A probabilistic model for simulating tropical cyclone (TC) track from the genesis to lysis is developed based on historical best-track dataset for western North Pacific basin. The spatially varying model coefficients are determined through regression analysis. Tracks are simulated using the developed probabilistic model; statistics of the key parameters defining the TC track: the translation velocity,...
The coastal region in mainland China experiences typhoon wind hazard and risk. Since historical surface observations are scarce and of short period, the hazard assessment is often carried out using the typhoon wind field and track models. For a few major cities in the coastal region, there are differences among the return period values of the annual maximum typhoon wind speed estimated by different...
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