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For highly reliable products, the last stages of reliability growth tests usually have small sample size, which hampers the corresponding reliability evaluation. A generalized linear model (GLM) is established by the historical multistage samples, and then by Bayes-Monte Carlo method, the estimation of the hyper parameter is obtained to serve as the start point of the growth trend forecasting. In...
The consistency test between prior information and field information using parametric method is investigated. A method to compute fitting goodness is presented. The case when there are multi-source prior information is discussed. Based on the fitting goodness, a new method is provided to determine the weighting factor of each prior distribution. Corresponding analysis is performed, when the product...
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