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This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of energy demand behaviour of seven energy intensive manufacturing industries and the aggregate manufacturing sector in India during 1973–74 to 2011–12. The policy Perform, Achieve and Trade (PAT) has mandated energy efficiency targets for these manufacturing industries in India. We focus on two major drivers of energy demand: technological progress and...
The scenario approach is a key tool in futures analysis. The likelihood of scenarios is evaluated by subjective judgment of analysts. In order to assert futures with higher certainty this article explores the notion of bounding scenarios. Making an analogy to the notion of mathematical bounds, bounding scenarios aim to exclude what will not occur rather than guess what will. The hope is that bounds...
This paper discusses different approaches to incorporating technological progress in energy-economy models and the effect on long-term energy demand projections. Approaches to modelling based on an exogenous annual change of energy efficiency to an endogenous explanation of innovation for energy technologies are covered. Technological progress is an important issue for modelling long-term energy demand...
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