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Financial crises forewarning has important practical significance both for the investors and for the lenders. This paper uses the financial forewarning models, including the Logistic Regressive model and SVM model, to verify the feasibility of the short-term forecast for the financial situation of enterprises. And the paper also gives comparisons between these two models. The results of the study...
Based on the previous studies, we discussed the financial crisis from brewing, germination and spread to contagion process, and focused on the volatility studies of stock return rate, which is one of the key indicators to reflect the financial crisis contagion through financial channels and expectation channels. Furthermore, we expanded Feng & Wu's contagion model, and applied differentiable dynamical...
Unceasing deepening along with the financial liberalization and integration of the world, the scale and speed of international capital flowing are also enlarging, which becomes a reduced factor to result in the regional economical and financial crises. Therefore, introducing the foreign capital with certain scale and structure safely and effectively to debtor countries appears very important. On the...
Credit risk analysis is an important topic in the financial risk management. Due to recent financial crises, credit risk analysis has been the major focus of financial and banking industry. An accurate estimation of credit risk could be transformed into a more efficient use of economic capital. Existing models for estimating credit risk are not semantics-based. The objective of this work was to design...
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