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How to quantify the uncertainty information consisted in the body of evidence (BOE) in the framework of Dempster-Shafer evidence theory is still an open issue. A few uncertainty measures have been proposed in Dempster-Shafer evidence theory framework, but these studies mainly focused on the mass function itself and the scale of the frame of discernment (FOD) is totally ignored. Since the existing...
This paper proposes a method of searching for missing people in mountains by UAVs (Unmanned Aerial Vehicles) based on beacon signals. This method alternately updates the distribution of estimated target position and unknown parameters by particle filtering, and determines the next best observation location based on the idea of the uncertainty sampling. We will show how this method can be integrated...
Dempster-Shafer evidence theory (DST) is a theoretical framework for uncertainty modeling and reasoning. The determination of basic belief assignment (BBA) is crucial in DST, however, there is no general theoretical method for BBA determination. In this paper, a method of generating BBA using fuzzy numbers is proposed. First, the training data are modeled as fuzzy numbers. Then, the dissimilarities...
Dempster-Shafer theory (DST) is an important theory for information fusion. However, in DST how to determinate the basic belief assignment (BBA) is still an open issue. The interval number based BBA determination method is simple and effective, where the features of different classes' samples are modeled using the interval numbers, i.e., an interval number model is constructed for each focal element...
This paper considers the robust filtering problem for a class of nonlinear discrete-time systems, and a conjugate unscented transform (CUT) based strong tracking H∞ filter is proposed. Firstly, an extended strong tracking H∞ filter is presented based on the fusion of the extended H∞ filter and strong tracking filter. By online estimating the time-varying noises, the fading factor in the strong tracking...
Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence is widely applied to uncertainty modelling and knowledge reasoning because of its advantages in dealing with uncertain information. But some conditions or requirements, such as exclusiveness hypothesis and completeness constraint, limit the development and application of that theory to a large extend. To overcome the shortcomings and enhance its capability of representing...
To embed ensemble techniques into belief decision trees for performance improvement, the bagging algorithm is explored. Simple belief decision trees based on entropy intervals extracted from evidential likelihood are constructed as the base classifiers, and a combination of individual trees promises to lead to a better classification accuracy. Requiring no extra querying cost, bagging belief decision...
This paper investigates the passive localization of a mobile source based on time difference of arrival (TDOA) measurements when the sensor positions suffer from random uncertainties. In the formulation of the dynamic system, the nonlinear measurement function contains random parameters, so the classical high-degree cubature Kalman filtering (CKF) method is unrealizable. We develop an augmented high-degree...
Situation information and sensor information are differentiated and a method for computing the situation information expected value (SIEV) is presented for use in Information Based Sensor Management (IBSM). Nine case pairs are evaluated in which the sensor capabilities vary among poor, average, and good sensors, and the goal lattice values vary among attack, defend, and stealth modes showing that...
Within the complex driving environment, progress in autonomous vehicles is supported by advances in sensing and data fusion. Safe and robust autonomous driving can only be guaranteed provided that vehicles and infrastructure are fully aware of the driving scenario. This paper proposes a methodology for feature uncertainty prediction for sensor fusion by generating neural network surrogate models directly...
Robust belief revision methods are crucial in streaming data situations for updating existing knowledge (or beliefs) with new incoming evidence. Bayes conditioning is the primary mechanism in use for belief revision in data fusion systems that use probabilistic inference. However, traditional conditioning methods face several challenges due to inherent data/source imperfections in big-data environments...
Dempster-Shafer(D-S) method has been used widely in fault diagnosis system of civil aircraft electrical system, but it has difficulty in dealing with combining evidences with high degree of conflict. In order to solve the problem, a new method is proposed in this paper. The proposed method in this paper introduces the historical data, defines the concept of modifying factor, and considers the influence...
Probabilistic reasoning applied to dynamic spectrum sharing systems enables them to characterize situational uncertainties and determine acceptable spectrum access behaviors. Spectrum sharing systems may use sensing data to reduce situational uncertainty and improve spectrum sharing potential. Probabilistic reasoning approaches enable risk-constrained spectrum access, a concept in which spectrum sharing...
The Sequential Probability Ratio Test (SPRT) is a classical detector for problems with an unfixed sample size. Though it is optimal under some conditions, SPRT can be directly used only for a binary hypothesis with exactly known distributions. In this paper, sequential detection problem with an uncertain hypothesis distribution is considered, in which the uncertain distribution is formulated in a...
The question addressed in this paper is “what” is to be evaluated by the Uncertainty Representation and Reasoning Evaluation Framework (URREF) ontology. We thus identify the elements composing uncertainty representation and reasoning approaches, which constitute various subjects being assessed. We distinguish between primary evaluation subjects (Uncertainty Representation and Reasoning components...
Despite many proposed solutions, multi-object tracking remains a challenging problem in complex situations involving partial occlusions and non-uniform and abrupt illumination changes. Considering modular systems, the tracking performance strongly depends on the consistency of the different blocks relatively to error features. In this work, using the Belief Function framework, we take into account...
Belief fusion consists of taking into account multiple sources of belief about a domain of interest. This paper describes cumulative and averaging multi-source belief fusion in the formalism of subjective logic, which represent generalisations of binary-source belief fusion operators previously described. The advantage of this approach is that we can model and analyse belief fusion situations involving...
The aim of this article is to design a moment transformation for Student-t distributed random variables, which is able to account for the error in the numerically computed mean. We employ Student-t process quadrature, an instance of Bayesian quadrature, which allows us to treat the integral itself as a random variable whose variance provides information about the incurred integration error. Advantage...
In this paper, we propose an integrated system to detect and track a single operator that can switch off and on when it leaves and (re-)enters the scene. Our method is based on a set-valued Bayes-optimal state estimator that integrates RGB-D detections and image-based classification to improve tracking results in severe clutter and under long-term occlusion. The classifier is trained in two stages:...
Smart manufacturing relies on a combination of different sources providing key information to support diverse activities throughout the manufacturing process. Most smart manufacturing systems focus on activities directly related to the management of robots, conveyor belts, maintenance logs, and others that ensure the process runs smoothly. An initial step to support such smart manufacturing systems...
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