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This paper aims to compare three models in terms of development policies, development potentials and operational mechanism by evaluating, identifying and choosing the best one to meet the needs of tourism development and management in the nonoptimal tourism districts (NTDs). The methods of Participatory Rural Tourism Appraisal and Analytic Hierarchy Process are employed to collect the necessary data...
Construction Enterprises need to implement ERP projects to constantly improve their competitiveness in the future. However, as having been proved to be an enormously invested and systematically risky project, ERP usually makes construction enterprises fall into "two-difficult" choices. Therefore, a scientific risk evaluation is urgently needed to increase the success rate of ERP project...
In risk evaluation of agent management projects, the critical factors which influence rationality of the result are how to estimate risk evaluation index weight and the measurement of risk index. For the risk evaluation index weight account, this thesis proposes risk index weight calculation method which combines AHP method and clustering methodology. This method reduces the anthropic factors of expert...
In power market, accurate electricity price forecasting can help all market participants make optimal bidding or purchasing decisions and maximize their revenue. In recent years, much attention has been focused on the short-term electricity price forecasting. Based on the theory of ARMA-GARCH model, the paper divides the constant day series into working day series and holiday series. Then the models...
Transmission and distribution networkpsilas natural monopoly characteristic decides it must receive regulation. Based on the analysis of price-cap regulation model, combining with the situation and status of power network in China, this paper put forward a reformative price regulation model, which takes network expansion and service quality into account at the same time. To carry out the transition...
In this paper, the city input-output efficiency analysis which includes electric power input has been done based on the extension models of DEA to Chinapsilas typical cities. At first, it established index system of comprehensive evaluation of city efficiency, and did input-output-effectiveness evaluation which include electric power input for China's 23 cities in 2006 and sorted by the urban development...
For an engineering project with running income, the result of time-cost trade-off problems (TCTP) concerning construction duration is only partly optimal. More cash flow happens during the running period, and the final goal of clients is to obtain the maximal profit across the lifecycle of engineering projects. In some situations, the cost of compressing construction duration even exceeds the increase...
The paper examines the long-run relationship between per capita income growth, energy consumption, and pollutant emissions in China during the period 1953-2004. We find that energy consumption, pollutant emissions and income are cointegrated in the long run. To supplement the findings of cointegrating analysis, we assess the causal relationships using Granger causality test and find strong evidence...
Internet is expected to be especially beneficial to the banking industry. As more and more financial institutions are finding ways to utilize Internet technologies to launch online banking services, an important issue is to understand what factors will impact the decisions of customers in adopting such services. Based on the UTAUT model, the D&M IS success model, and the concept of trust, this...
An improved BP Neural Network with additional momentum and adaptive learning is proposed in the paper to predict the growth rate of electricity consumption in China. Matlab7 is used as modeling tool to design the model. Current year GDP growth, electric power consumption growth and growth rate of secondary industry are taken as input variables while next year electric power consumption growth is predicted...
Following the steady demand growth and diminishing generation capacity margin due to lack of generation investment, Slovenia is already importing almost a quarter of electricity needed to cover its demand. Coupled with the deregulated electricity market and the European Union (EU) climate change mitigation measures implemented through EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS), the economic as well as environmental...
The electric power industry is regarded as the basic industry of national economy, which makes it unable to get rid of the governmentpsilas regulation, as well as its own technology and economic characteristic. After reforming of regulation, government pays a good deal of attention to the performance-base regulation which has been used in telecommunication successfully and can solve the low efficiency...
Using an aggregate production model where capital, labor and energy are treated as separate inputs, this paper tests for the existence and direction of causality between output growth and oil consumption in China. Using the Johansen cointegration technique, the empirical findings indicate that there exists long-run cointegration among output, labor, capital and oil consumption in China. Then using...
For a three-echelon stochastic inventory system in the supply chain, it is difficult to get optimal inventory control policies by analytical methods. The paper sets up an optimization model, which is built on the basis of the discrete event system simulation theory. The simulation-based optimization method is used to solve the problem by combining the simulation model and the particle swarm optimization...
In allusion to the evolution process of knowledge-based alliance, we establish models of the evolution of symmetrical knowledge-based alliance and asymmetrical knowledge-based alliance separately by evolution game theory. We draw the axle graphs of two-dimensional plane of symmetrical enterprise system and asymmetrical enterprise system and analyze them separately on basis of dynamic equation of enterprise...
A gray model and regression model based middle and long term load forecasting method using variable weight combination model is proposed. In view of the shortcomings of grey prediction model is not very suitable for middle and long term load forecasting, the equivalent dimensions additional data processing technology is adopted to build the equivalent dimensions additional grey model to improve the...
Research on project success is an eternal issue in project management. It has very important meaning in current social and economical innovation in China. Establishment of reasonable evaluation system can not only deepen cognition of the partner, but also used as reference to the establishment of controlling system of the subsequent project. This paper established longitudinal and lateral evaluation...
The paper proposes credit risk assessment model of commercial banks based on fuzzy probabilistic neural network model (FPNN) which combines the relative membership degree in fuzzy mathematics with Probabilistic Neural Network (PNN). The model makes up for a deficiency of ANN and BP arithmetic. Finally, an example is used to prove the calculation of this method is succinct rapid, and the evaluative...
Regional brands are the senior stage of industrial cluster development as well as the strategic choice for elevating the competitiveness of industrial clusters. The public characteristics of regional brands contribute to the existence of "prisonerpsilas dilemma" in constructing regional brands and the key to the problem is local governments. This paper analyzes the two models in government...
A comprehensive and objective post-evaluation of rural electric network reformation (RENR) will bring a scientific suggestion for decision-making with the financing is shortage. In this paper, on the base of analyzing methods used in post-evaluation before, a new model, which integrated with fuzzy theory, interval number and analytic hierarchy process (AHP), is proposed. Multi-factors and information...
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